Put together for each surprises, predictability in Golden Globe races | Leisure

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The Golden Globe Awards airing at 7 p.m. Sunday on NBC shall be in contrast to some other within the 78 years of the Hollywood Overseas Press Affiliation’s historical past.

Whereas I can predict who I believe ought to win, who is aware of for certain what’s going to occur on the hybrid award ceremony that may have Tina Fey and Amy Poehler on two coasts internet hosting the occasion.

Beginning on the high, Greatest Movement Image-Drama is “Nomadland’s” to lose. Whereas “The Father” (opening within the Houston space on March 12) is often the type of contender the HFPA leans towards, however the movie’s lack of a director nomination is a clue that it didn’t enchantment to everybody. “Nomadland” casts a spell on almost each viewer and has gained numerous precursor prizes.

For the reason that Globes are the primary huge televised award present of the season, that is the place some movies will acquire or maintain momentum and others will lose it. Netflix’s racial courtroom drama “The Trial of the Chicago 7” seems to be in second place, whereas “Promising Younger Girl” and “Mank” are the debatable third decisions.

The second most essential award of the night time shall be for Greatest Director. With a record-breaking three girls on this class, the simple frontrunner, Chloé Zhao (“Nomadland”), is one other certain guess. It’s true the Globes love Aaron Sorkin (“The Trial of the Chicago 7”) and David Fincher (“Mank”), however Zhao’s reputation for her work on “Nomadland” has virtually eclipsed the approval for the movie itself.

In a standard 12 months, the award for Greatest Movement Image-Musical or Comedy will at minimal have one nominee that’s prone to go on to turn into an Oscar Greatest Image nominee. This 12 months the 5 contenders replicate an actual “scraping the underside of the barrel.” The probably winner, “Hamilton,” isn’t even a movement image — it’s a recorded stage play.

The winner right here sometimes isn’t vital to the general awards race and whereas “Palm Springs” is probably the most artistic of the 5, it’s satirically the “Borat” sequel (one other entry I might argue isn’t an actual film), that’s the one actual competitors to “Hamilton.”

Greatest Actress in a Movement Image-Musical or Comedy will probably go to Maria Bakalova for “Borat: Subsequent Moviefilm,” the obscure, head-scratching critic’s favourite. However, I believe if the Globes resolve to take greater floor right here, they may throw this award to Rosamund Pike for her diabolical flip in “I Care a Lot,” which hit Netflix this previous weekend and has everybody speaking. Michelle Pfeiffer isn’t completely out of the query both, the Globes do favor mega-stars and comeback children.

Greatest Actor in a Movement Image-Musical or Comedy is once more between “Borat” and “Hamilton.” So right here is the place optics might affect the winner. Sacha Baron Cohen is also nominated for finest actor in a supporting position for “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” If he wins there, Lin-Manuel Miranda will probably win Greatest Actor for “Hamilton” (once more, not a film, only a video recorded stage play). If anybody apart from Baron Cohen wins supporting actor, he’ll probably win Greatest Actor for “Borat.” It’s uncertain he’ll win each.

Greatest Actress in Movement Image-Drama might be probably the most anticipated award of the night as a result of it’s anybody’s recreation. For my part, Vanessa Kirby (“Items of a Girl”) offers probably the most spectacular efficiency, however the movie hasn’t fared properly amongst critics. Frances McDormand (“Nomadland”) is within the frontrunning movie, however the truth that she has gained so just lately for “Three Billboards Outdoors Ebbing, Missouri” in 2018, could damage her probabilities.

Andra Day (“America vs. Billie Vacation”), like Kirby, is a newcomer. Her movie debuted late and did not construct a lot momentum, however the Globes pleasure themselves on igniting momentum. Viola Davis is in second place for her bigger-than-life efficiency in “Ma Rainey’s Black Backside.”

The probably winner, nonetheless, is Carey Mulligan (“Promising Younger Girl”). Not solely is her movie nominated for finest image, director and screenplay, the current broadly coated controversy over a sure disparaging movie critic and the fandom across the movie has propelled her to probably the most buzzed-about efficiency within the group.

Greatest Actor in a Movement Image-Drama may as properly solely have two nominees. It’s Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Backside”) or Anthony Hopkins (“The Father”). I believe it’s Boseman’s to lose right here and so shall be each award on this class this 12 months all the best way to the Oscar.

Greatest Supporting Actress is a rematch between Glenn Shut (“Hillbilly Elegy”) and Olivia Colman (“The Father”), who famously beat Shut on the Oscars two years in the past in a real shocker. The Globes that 12 months, nonetheless, awarded each girls who had been competing in separate classes (which means that, in contrast to the Oscars, the Globes don’t have an IOU for Shut). “The Father” is the extra lauded movie, however a win right here for Shut within the extra transformative position, within the critically panned Hillbilly Elegy (I liked it, by the best way), would trigger probably the most publicity. I’m predicting Shut.

The Greatest Supporting Actor shall be Baron Cohen for “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” The Greatest Overseas Movie shall be “Minari.” Greatest Screenplay is an actual toss-up, however I’m going with “The Trial of the Chicago 7.” Greatest Rating may go to “Mank,” simply so it wins one thing. The identical goes for Greatest Authentic Track. “One Night time in Miami” may win simply in order that they don’t ship it residence empty-handed.

Dustin Chase is a movie critic and affiliate editor with Texas Artwork & Movie, which relies in Galveston. Go to texasartfilm.com.



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